Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.536268 1.799843 2.074645 2.380912 2.711160 3.055121 3.439040
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.087101 1.442544 1.837096 2.300525 2.823517 3.389772 4.043774
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.839219 1.230229 1.685530 2.240525 2.886044 3.602209 4.446491
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.659910 1.070636 1.571787 2.203809 2.958540 3.813181 4.837659
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.554787 0.984904 1.531094 2.239083 3.101942 4.094125 5.298071
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.459506 0.897854 1.477762 2.249817 3.208948 4.327412 5.699510
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.365170 0.797537 1.396215 2.216050 3.254573 4.482585 6.005183
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.336154 0.788760 1.433464 2.331225 3.481305 4.851963 6.561519
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.312310 0.784180 1.474036 2.449070 3.710425 5.223888 7.121093
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.295256 0.787828 1.524525 2.579006 3.954329 5.613765 7.702553
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.285164 0.801380 1.588225 2.726128 4.220010 6.030495 8.316842
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.258504 0.782530 1.602759 2.805672 4.398845 6.341055 8.804302
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.212395 0.725544 1.562782 2.816781 4.499236 6.567876 9.207713
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.154698 0.634197 1.464067 2.742712 4.487403 6.656113 9.445303
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.109009 0.553152 1.372454 2.671448 4.473328 6.736633 9.668949
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.077502 0.492650 1.307228 2.632616 4.497818 6.861779 9.943661
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.061412 0.465968 1.296096 2.670987 4.624599 7.115284 10.375606
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.045244 0.431845 1.268719 2.683058 4.714384 7.321005 10.748238
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028253 0.383515 1.210822 2.645678 4.734252 7.435820 11.007127
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.026434 0.392584 1.259892 2.772850 4.981582 7.843529 11.631257
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.024923 0.402455 1.310510 2.902667 5.233025 8.257155 12.263605
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.024354 0.416477 1.369280 3.045527 5.503108 8.695499 12.927676
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.024976 0.436346 1.439660 3.206935 5.799567 9.168601 13.636030